Cross-Country Economic Espionage and Investment in Research and Development
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
<p>This paper investigates the impact of cross-country economic espionage on innovation incentives and welfare by considering both ex ante and ex post effects of espionage. I consider two firms residing in two countries with two types of innovation, cost-reducing research and development (R&amp;D) and information technology R&amp;D, and find that espionage activity reduces both firms’ investment in cost-reducing R&amp;D. The change in consumer’s welfare due to espionage depends on two offsetting effects and is ambiguous. I also discuss the effect of sales ban policy on deterring espionage. I find that sales ban policy may alternatively encourage investment in espionage activities if market size is small. Whether sales ban policy can improve consumer’s welfare depends on the market size. When market size is large that espionage activities are deterred by sales ban, then more capital devoted to cost-reducing R&amp;D leads to higher consumer welfare. However, if market size is small that espionage is not deterred, then monopolistic position of the local firm under sales ban policy hurts local consumers.</p>
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it