National Trends and Factors Associated with Hospital Costs Following Thyroid Surgery
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Medical costs in the United States have been increasing disproportionally to gross domestic product, raising concerns about the sustainability of U.S. healthcare expenditures. Care of patients with thyroid disease has been identified as an area of medicine where cost increases have been pronounced. OBJECTIVES: The goals of this study were to identify potential drivers of the cost of hospitalization following thyroid surgery, and to understand which of these factors may be contributing to observed increases in cost from 2003 to 2011. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional analysis of discharge data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database for all admissions following thyroid lobectomy or total thyroidectomy in the years 2003, 2007, and 2011 was performed. Multiple regression analysis via a weighted generalized linear model was used to identify factors that were independently associated with high cost of hospitalization. Trend as well as subgroup analyses were then performed to identify which of these factors could be contributing to increasing costs. RESULTS: There were 47,854 hospital admissions following total thyroidectomy or thyroid lobectomy identified in the years 2003, 2007, and 2011. The aggregate national cost of hospitalization increased from $198 million in 2003 to $373 million in 2011 in inflation-adjusted 2011 dollars. The weighted mean cost of hospitalization following thyroid surgery increased from $6154 to $8982 from 2003 to 2011 in inflation-adjusted 2011 dollars. Higher comorbidity score, total thyroidectomy, lymphadenectomy, western region, rural region, and certain postoperative complications were the factors most highly associated with increased hospital costs. Of these, an increasing proportion of patients with higher severity of illness score and an increasing proportion of patients undergoing total thyroidectomy and lymphadenectomy were implicated as the most likely contributors to the cost increases. The rate of total thyroidectomy and lymphadenectomy was found to be increasing for patients with both benign and malignant thyroid disease. CONCLUSIONS: According to the NIS data set, costs associated with hospitalization after thyroid surgery increased markedly from 2003 to 2011. This increase could be in part due to a growing proportion of sicker patients undergoing more extensive surgery, but a number of confounders in this study limit the conclusions. Further analysis of factors that could be associated with the rising costs of inpatient thyroid surgery should be undertaken.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it