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Record W2315382297 · doi:10.1177/1715163513494594

Pace of growth in drug expenditures slows to lowest level in 16 years

2013· article· en· W2315382297 on OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
Kathie Lynas

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Pharmacists Journal / Revue des Pharmaciens du Canada · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicPharmaceutical Economics and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPaceMedical prescriptionDemographic economicsPrescription drugHealth careBusinessEconomicsPublic economicsMedicineEconomic growthGeographyPharmacology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

It appears new generic pricing policies implemented across Canada over the past couple of years are helping to slow the pace of growth in drug expenditures. Spending on drugs in Canada grew more slowly in 2012 than at any time in the previous 16 years, according to the Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI). In Drug Expenditure in Canada, 1985 to 2012, CIHI estimates that total drug spending reached $33 billion in 2012—an average of $947 per person. While that represents an increase of $3.3% from 2011 expenditures, it is historically a low rate of growth. The $33 billion includes both prescription and over-the-counter drugs. Prescribed drugs made up an estimated 84% of overall drug spending in 2012—a total of $28 billion. According to the report, public-sector spending on prescription drugs grew by 1.9% in 2012, the lowest growth rate since 1996. The estimated rate of growth in the private sector, which includes private insurers as well as households and individuals, was 4.1%—the lowest since 1994. New generic pricing policies in provincial drug programs are one factor in the spending slowdown, say the report’s authors. They also point to patent expirations of blockbuster brand-name drugs used to treat patients for high cholesterol and hypertension. Drugs continued to account for the second-highest share (15.9%) of health care spending, behind hospitals and ahead of spending on physicians. Over the past decade, spending in the other 2 categories has grown more rapidly than in the drug-spending area.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.009
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.625
Threshold uncertainty score0.745

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.009
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.005
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0080.003
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0110.006

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.059
GPT teacher head0.262
Teacher spread0.203 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2013
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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