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O-021 Evaluation of Baseline CT ASPECTS in Perfusion-guided Selected Patients for Intra-arterial Reperfusion Therapy

2013· article· en· W2316624895 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
A Honarmand, Maryam Soltanolkotabi, Shyam Prabhakaran, Michael C. Hurley, Ozair Rahman, Ali Shaibani, Sameer A. Ansari

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of NeuroInterventional Surgery · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicMedical Imaging and Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineThrombolysisIntraclass correlationStroke (engine)Perfusion scanningRadiologyPerfusionUnivariate analysisNuclear medicineInternal medicineMyocardial infarctionMultivariate analysis

Abstract

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Background and Purpose Appropriate patient selection in acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) is central for improving patient outcomes following intra-arterial (IA) reperfusion therapy (thrombolysis/mechanical thrombectomy). Perfusion imaging with CTP/MR DWI-PWI has been utilised increasingly to identify subpopulations with acceptable risk-benefit profiles for reperfusion, avoiding futile or harmful recanalisation. Earlier studies reported to have prognostic value of baseline Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) of >7 in determining good functional outcomes following IA reperfusion. We investigated baseline CT ASPECTS in AIS patients selected for IA reperfusion therapy based on perfusion mismatch profiles. Furthermore, we studied the predictive value of CT ASPECTS for clinical outcomes following recanalisation. Materials and Methods In a multicentre review, all AIS patients that underwent IA thrombolysis/thrombectomy between January 2010 and September 2012 were studied retrospectively for the following inclusion criteria: baseline NIHSS >8, presentation <8 hours from symptom onset, CTA/MRA verified M1-M2 MCA occlusion, and favourable perfusion (CTP/MR DWI-PWI) mismatch profile. Patient demographics, medical comorbidities, time from symptom onset to recanalisation, final recanalisation (TICI scale), and clinical outcomes (90 day mRS score) were obtained. One neuroradiologist conducted blinded scoring of ASPECTS for all baseline noncontrast CT scans. For evaluation of inter-rater reliability, scores by another neuroradiologist were used and analysed using Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC) and Bland and Altman method. ASPECTS scores were dichotomised into >7 and ≤7 for primary analysis. Chi-square, Mann-Whitney U and student t tests were used for univariate analyses as appropriate. To obtain the optimal cut-off ASPECTS for discriminating patients with favourable outcomes, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed. Results Seventy-one consecutive patients (39 female/32 male patients with mean age of 71.2 ± 15.5 years) met inclusion criteria for analysis. Successful recanalisation (TICI > 2b/3) was achieved in 38 patients (53.5%), highly correlating with good functional outcomes (mRS 0–2) in 43 patients (60.6%) (P < 0.001). No significant difference was observed between ASPECTS reading (P=0.9) with good inter-rater reliability (ICC=0.80, 95% confidence interval: 0.66 to 0.87). Patients with ASPECTS >7 (n=43) and ≤7 (n=28) were comparable in baseline characteristics,medical history, and treatment related variables (age, P=0.8; sex, P=0.8; baseline NIHSS score, P=0.2; diabetes, P=0.8; atrial fibrillation, P=1.0; hyperlipidemia, P=1.0; hypertension, P=0.8; recanalisation, P=0.6; time from symptom onset to recanalisation, P=0.7). Relatively high ASPECTS correlated with perfusion-based patient selection with mean and median baseline ASPECTS of eight. However, no significant correlation was observed between baseline ASPECTS and final clinical outcomes (P=0.5). Additionally, baseline ASPECTS score >7 did not correlate with final outcome in patients with successful recanalisation (P=0.4). The ROC curve analysis demonstrated a cut-off point of eight for discrimination of final outcome, but with poor predictive value (sensitivity=65.1%; specificity=28.6%; P=0.8, AUC=0.51). Conclusion Our results indicate favourable baseline CT ASPECTS correlate with favourable perfusion mismatch profiles and may represent an equivalent surrogate for primary patient selection in IA reperfusion therapy. However, CT ASPECTS did not clearly predict good functional outcomes independent of recanalisation, suggesting other confounding variables such as core infarct volume versus eloquence may impact clinical outcomes and have to be elucidated. Disclosures A. Honarmand: None. M. Soltanolkotabi: None. S. Prabhakaran: None. M. Hurley: None. O. Rahman: None. A. Shaibani: None. S. Ansari: None.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.438
Threshold uncertainty score0.965

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.038
GPT teacher head0.283
Teacher spread0.245 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Published2013
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