Spacing and shape of random peaks in non-parametric spectrum estimates
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, expressions are derived for the expected number of spurious peaks in a spectrum estimate, that is, crossings above a given significance level per frequency unit, as well as the expected width of these peaks. In numerous scientific applications, spectrum estimates are used for the purpose of identifying sinusoidal or modal components, often thinning large sets of candidate frequencies with coincidence detection. Because one always expects numerous false peaks in a spectrum estimate, knowing the expected rate of false peaks helps to decide whether the number observed is abnormal and hence determine the true nature of the process. An example using solar wind data from the Advanced Composition Explorer is given where spectra display pathological numbers of significant peaks, while temporally permuted versions of the data possess spectra with the number expected for a white, Gaussian process. The permutation test is a valuable diagnostic for processes suspected to contain many line components.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it