Knowledge Based Approach to Wing Weight and Stiffness Estimation at Early Stages of Aircraft Design
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Current developments in the Multidisciplinary Design Optimisation (MDO) at Bombardier has brought the need for a fast and accurate method of estimating wing weight and stiffness distributions at very early stages of aircraft conceptual design. The method proposed here tries to bring a good compromise between accuracy and speed. It provides an alternative to traditional empirical and scaling methods for a similar rapidity. Artificial neural networks are used here to leverage already existing Bombardier knowledge to improve accuracy while offering more flexibility in terms of design and configuration. Preliminary results show some clear potential both in terms of accuracy and computational performance though further work is needed to fully reach the targets and maximize the potential of the method.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it