Patient and Physician Predictors of Peritoneal Dialysis Technique Failure: A Population Based, Retrospective Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The use of peritoneal dialysis (PD) has been declining over the past decade in Canada, and high technique failure rates have been implicated. Studies have examined clinical risk factors for PD technique failure, but few studies have addressed sociodemographic factors driving technique failure. There are no studies examining the effect of physician factors on technique failure. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using Ontario healthcare databases from 1 April 1995 to 31 March 2005 to examine the effects of patient sociodemographic and physician characteristics on PD technique failure. The primary outcome was time to technique failure. Secondary outcomes included the proportion of patients experiencing technique failure during the first year and the proportion of patients experiencing death during the study period. A competing risks analysis was applied to the Cox proportional hazards model to determine the predictors of technique failure, death, and kidney transplantation. RESULTS: In 5162 incident PD patients, the probability of technique success and patient survival at 5 years was 58.2% and 46.9% respectively. Of patients failing PD, 43.5% failed during the first year of treatment. Statistically significant predictors of technique failure included increasing age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.02], diabetes mellitus (HR 1.32), lower neighborhood education level (HR 2.93), and receiving transient (≤ 3 months) hemodialysis before starting PD (HR 1.24). Predictors of patient death included increasing age (HR 1.05), diabetes mellitus (HR 1.44), coronary artery disease (HR 1.26), congestive heart failure (HR 1.58), and late referral to the nephrologist (HR 1.27). Distance from treating dialysis center and residing in a rural area did not impact the risk of technique failure or death. Male physician gender increased the risk of technique failure (HR 1.31). Increased PD patient volume decreased the risk of technique failure (HR 0.98). None of the physician factors were predictors of patient death. CONCLUSION: These findings support the need for implementing strategies to reduce technique failure, which could include increasing educational resources for patients initiating PD, aggressive risk factor modification in patients with multiple comorbidities, and increasing physician awareness regarding the detrimental outcomes associated with late referral and late PD start.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".