Estimation for Wrapped Zero Inflated Poisson and Wrapped Poisson Distributions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
There has been a growing interest in discrete circular models such as wrapped zero inflated Poisson and wrapped Poisson distributions and the trigonometric moments (see Brobbey et al., 2016 and Girija et al., 2014). Also, characteristic functions of stable processes have been used to study the estimation of the model parameters using estimating function approach (see Thavaneswaran et al., 2013). One difficulty in estimating the circular mean and the resultant mean length parameter of wrapped Poisson (WP) or wrapped zero inflated Poisson (WZIP) is that neither the likelihood of WP/WZIP random variable nor the score function is available in closed form, which leads one to use either trigonometric method of moment estimation (TMME) or an estimating function approach. In this paper, we study the estimation of WZIP distribution and WP distribution using estimating functions and obtain the closed form expression of the information matrix. We also derive the asymptotic distribution of the tangent of the mean direction for both the WZIP and WP distributions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.056 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".