The density of the time of ruin in the classical risk model with a constant dividend barrier
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract In this paper, we investigate the density function of the time of ruin in the classical risk model with a constant dividend barrier. When claims are exponentially distributed, we derive explicit expressions for the density function of the time of ruin and its decompositions: the density of the time of ruin without dividend payments and the density of the time of ruin with dividend payments. These densities are obtained based on their Laplace transforms, and expressed in terms of some special functions which are computationally tractable. The Laplace transforms are being inverted using a magnificent tool, the Lagrange inverse formula, developed in Dickson and Willmot (2005). Several numerical examples are given to illustrate our results.
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Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.013 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.006 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
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Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it