Clinical Features and Risk Factors for Primary Surgery in 205 Patients With Crohn's Disease: Analysis of a South China Cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The frequency of Crohn's disease in China is increasing, but few reports are available on clinical features, phenotypes according to the Montreal classification, or risk factors for surgery in mainland China. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess clinical presentation, phenotypes according to the Montreal classification, and potential risk factors for initial surgery in patients with Crohn's disease in southern China. DESIGN: This was an observational study designed as a retrospective analysis of a historical cohort. SETTINGS: The study was conducted at a tertiary referral hospital, Guangzhou, China. PATIENTS: Medical records of 212 consecutive patients with Crohn's disease were reviewed; data from 205 patients who met inclusion criteria were analyzed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The value of age, location, and behavior of disease according to the Montreal system, smoking behavior, and other clinical variables as potential risk factors in predicting the requirement for initial surgery was assessed by use of Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 205 patients were studied. Abdominal pain (181 patients, 88.3%) was the most common clinical presentation. At the time of diagnosis, age was between 17 and 40 years in 145 patients (70.7%). The Montreal classification of disease location was L3 (ileocolonic) in 114 patients (55.6%), disease behavior was classified as inflammatory in 133 patients (64.9%). During the course of their disease (median, 4 years; range, 1-21 years), 79 patients (38.5%) required bowel resection. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the overall cumulative rate of primary bowel surgery was 17.6% at 1 year after onset of symptoms, 20.3% at 2 years, 35.2% at 5 years, and 58.3% at 10 years. In our final Cox model, stricturing (HR, 3.67; 95% CI, 2.14-6.29; P < .001), penetrating behavior (HR, 4.60; 95% CI, 2.58-8.22; P < .001), and smoking habit (HR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.15-3.53; P = .014) were significantly associated with an increased risk for bowel resection. LIMITATIONS: The study was limited by its retrospective nature. CONCLUSIONS: In Chinese patients with Crohn's disease, abdominal pain is the most common clinical presentation, and the most common phenotypes are age 17 to 40 years at diagnosis, ileocolonic disease location, and inflammatory disease behavior. More than one-third of patients require surgery at a median of 4 years after onset of symptoms. Stricturing, penetrating disease, and smoking are associated with an increased risk of requiring bowel resection.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".