Bayesian regression models adjusting for unidirectional covariate misclassification
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract In this article we consider unidirectional covariate misclassification, meaning that the direction of classification error is known. We investigate the identifiability of Bayesian regression models when a binary covariate is subject to unidirectional misclassification. In the Bayesian framework we consider whether knowledge of the direction of error suffices, so that adjustment for misclassification can be undertaken without any source of information on the magnitude of error. Although measurement error models are generally non‐identified without such information, for the case of unidirectional misclassification, we do obtain model identifiability when the response variable is non‐binary. For the binary response model that is non‐identified we examine the extent of partial identification. The limiting posterior distributions of the parameters are obtained for this partially identified model, for two different prior distributions. We perform computational studies that illustrate statistical learning, for the three cases where the model is easily identified, weakly identified, and partially identified. A case study is performed using real data. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 44: 198–218; 2016 © 2016 Statistical Society of Canada
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it