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Record W2340347484 · doi:10.1161/circ.133.suppl_1.08

Abstract 08: The Impact of Food Taxation and Subsidy Policies on Cardiometabolic Disparities in the US

2016· article· en· W2340347484 on OpenAlexaff
José L. Peñalvo, Fred Cudhea, Renata Micha, Ashkan Afshin, Colin D. Rehm, Parke Wilde, Masha Shulkin, Eve Bishop, Jonathan Pearson‐Stuttard, Martín O’Flaherty, Thomas A. Gaziano, Laurie P. Whitsel, Simon Capewell, Dariush Mozaffarian

Bibliographic record

VenueCirculation · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
Canadian institutionsBishop's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSubsidyMedicineFood pricesSocioeconomic statusEnvironmental healthPsychological interventionFood groupPrice elasticity of demandAdded sugarFood policyObesityEconomicsFood securityPopulationAgricultureEndocrinologyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: Food taxes and subsidies are promising strategies for improving diets and reducing cardiometabolic diseases (CMD). Both dietary habits and CMD burdens are unequally distributed in the US, with major disparities by socioeconomic status (SES). Information on impacts of national food price policies on disparities is lacking. Aim: To estimate the impact on CMD deaths and health disparities in US adults of price interventions (taxes, subsidies) targeting 7 key dietary factors. Methods: Using nationally representative data, we conducted comparative risk assessment analysis to estimate the impact of a 10% price subsidy on fruits, vegetables, whole grains, and nuts and a 10% tax on processed meat, unprocessed red meat, and sugar-sweetened beverages, on CMD deaths and disparities in SES subgroups. We evaluated 18% (based on global price elasticity data) and 50% (based on recent experience from soda taxes in Mexico) greater price responsiveness in lowest vs. highest SES groups. Results: Each separate price intervention would reduce CMD deaths (Figure). Jointly subsidizing and taxing these 7 dietary factors (10% price change each) and assuming 18% greater price-responsiveness in lowest vs. highest SES, this intervention would prevent 5.27% of CMD deaths in those with Conclusions: Introducing modest price changes on key dietary factors could reduce CMD burdens and improve disparities in the US. Policy-based strategies targeting disparities will require considering both baseline dietary habits as well as price responsiveness in specific population subgroups.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.051
Threshold uncertainty score0.101

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.298
Teacher spread0.273 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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