Winter stream temperature in the rain-on-snow zone of the Pacific Northwest
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Stream temperature dynamics during winter are less well studied than summer thermal regimes, but the winter season thermal regime can be critical for fish growth and development. The winter thermal regimes of Pacific Northwest headwater streams, which provide vital winter habitat for salmonids and their food sources, may be particularly sensitive to changes in climate because they can remain ice-free throughout the year and are often located in rain-on-snow zones. This study examined winter stream temperature patterns and controls in small headwater catchments within the rain-on-snow zone at the Malcolm Knapp Research Forest, near Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. A diagnostic energy budget analysis highlighted that advective fluxes associated with hillslope throughflow inputs were a dominant control on the winter stream thermal regime. In addition, stream temperatures during rain-on-snow events were generally lower than during rain-on-ground events after controlling for air temperature. Methods for estimating throughflow temperatures embedded in stream temperature models were evaluated against field observations, and were found either not to account for the role of snow or to under- or over-predict throughflow temperatures by up to 5 °C. Therefore, a conceptual-parametric hillslope throughflow temperature model that coupled hydrologic and thermal processes, and accounted for the role of snow was developed and evaluated against field observations of throughflow temperatures. The hillslope throughflow temperature model was linked to stream energy exchange processes in order to predict stream temperature. The stream temperature model accurately predicted streamflow and winter stream temperature at three study catchments. The model also simulated lower throughflow temperatures during rain-on-snow versus rain-on-ground events, although the magnitude of cooling was less than suggested by empirical results. A key implication of this research is that climatic warming may generate higher winter stream temperatures in the rain-on-snow zone due to both increased temperature of throughflow inputs and reduced cooling effect of snow cover.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".