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Record W2362369498 · doi:10.1111/acem.12919

Hot Off the Press: An Observational Study of 2,248 Patients Presenting with Headache, Suggestive of Subarachnoid Hemorrhage, That Received a Lumbar Puncture Following a Normal Computed Tomography of the Head

2016· article· en· W2362369498 on OpenAlexaff
Lauren M. Westafer, William K. Milne, Christopher R. Carpenter

Bibliographic record

VenueAcademic Emergency Medicine · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicNeurosurgical Procedures and Complications
Canadian institutionsWestern University
FundersNational Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
KeywordsMedicineLumbar punctureEmergency departmentSubarachnoid hemorrhageRadiologyRetrospective cohort studyPopulationHead injuryObservational studyCerebrospinal fluidSurgeryInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Headache is a very common emergency department (ED) chief complaint, representing about 2.8% of all visits in the United States.1 Sudden-onset, severe headache often warrants evaluation for etiologies with unacceptably high morbidity and lethality, including subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Noncontrast head computed tomography (CT) as soon as possible after the onset of headache is the initial SAH diagnostic test of choice, but older studies indicate that up to one in three SAH patients were misdiagnosed during the initial ED encounter with subsequent treatment delays producing less optimal patient outcomes due to failure to perform or appropriately interpret lumbar puncture (LP) results in headache patients with a nondiagnostic CT.2 Early-generation CT studies reported inadequate sensitivities for the diagnosis of SAH so postimaging LP was the standard workup to adequately exclude SAH.3 The American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) Clinical Policy Statement for the evaluation of adult headache patients currently provide a Level B recommendation supporting LP following nondiagnostic noncontrast head CT to rule out SAH.4 Recent studies using newer-generation CT scanners demonstrate significantly improved sensitivities for detecting SAH if performed within 6 hours, rendering providers and clinical educators to question the benefit for LP in this population.5 This retrospective study evaluated the diagnostic yield of LP after a nondiagnostic head CT in patients presenting to one of six urban EDs in the United Kingdom. The primary outcome was the rate of diagnosis of SAH by LP after negative head CT. Over the course of 5 years, 2,248 patients were included, of whom 92 patients had a “positive” LP, according to spectrophotometric criteria established by the authors. Several limitations of this study were noted. First, the criteria for a positive LP in this study relied on spectrophotometric cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analysis, which is not available or routinely performed in 97% of North American EDs.5 In fact, spectrophotometric assessment of xanthochromia has specificities as low as 29% and could actually increase further CT angiography and other more invasive downstream testing.6 Additionally, patients with inconclusive CSF results did not undergo uniform evaluation, since only two of six sites evaluated equivocal LPs and most these equivocal cases were not referred for additional definitive imaging. Using different thresholds to fully evaluate equivocal cases represents differential verification bias (double gold standard bias), which falsely elevates observed estimates of sensitivity and decreases estimates of specificity.7 In addition, the authors do not report any details about the delay between the onset of the headache and CT imaging or LP, which are both important because CT loses sensitivity after 6 hours and CSF bilirubin requires several hours to manifest following a sentinel bleed.5, 8 Finally, the investigators do not assess for potential temporal bias resulting from improvements in CT imaging quality and interpretation between 2006 and 2011.9 Among 2,248 patients with an initial high-resolution (16- to 64-slice) cranial CT, 92 patients had a positive LP of whom nine (0.04%) had an aneurysm subsequently identified. A significant proportion of LPs had inconclusive or uninterpretable results, 13 and 16%, respectively. The number of LPs needed to identify one aneurysm was 250 (1/0.004). This retrospective study of acute, nontraumatic adult headache patients with suspected SAH contradicts the ACEP Clinical Policy Statement and classical teaching that providers must evaluate CSF for xanthochromia or significant red blood cells following a negative noncontrast cranial CT to rule out SAH in acute headache patients. Routine LP following nondiagnostic cranial CT in patients with acute, nontraumatic headache yields more inconclusive and false-positive results than cases of SAH when evaluating for cerebral aneurysm-related sentinel bleeds. The number needed to LP to find one case of SAH in this scenario is 250, which should motivate shared decision-making with patients and more formal assessments of quantitative test–treatment thresholds in an era of increasingly sensitive CT imaging.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.012
Threshold uncertainty score0.420

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.096
GPT teacher head0.339
Teacher spread0.243 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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