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Record W2394405580

Periodic Relationship between Inventory Adjustment and Output Volatility:Research Based on the Data of Listed Manufacturing Companies

2014· article· en· W2394405580 on OpenAlex
LV Feng-yon

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueJingji wenti · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicForecasting Techniques and Applications
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVolatility (finance)Inventory investmentQuarter (Canadian coin)RevenueEconometricsEconomicsInvestment (military)BusinessMonetary economicsFinance
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Firm inventory adjustment behavior will cause fluctuations in the economy of a country,especially in the short- term economic fluctuations. This paper takes listed manufacturing companies as samples and breaks inventory and other variables down into trend items and periodic items by H- P filter. Thereafter,volatility,correlation and periodicity of those periodic items are carefully studied,and some conclusions come to us: there is a significant positive correlation between inventory investment and operation revenue,but a significant negative correlation in the short term between inventory ratio and operation revenue growth rate on a quarter- on- quarter basis. As a necessary complement,spectral analysis is also carried out; the results show that periodic items of inventory investment,operation revenue and inventory ratio all have a primary cycle with a length of about nine quarters. Finally, the relationship of variable changes in each quarter since 2008 are described and analyzed.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.152
Threshold uncertainty score0.427

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.610
GPT teacher head0.470
Teacher spread0.140 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it