Abstract B12: H3-K27M is a negative prognostic marker in high- and low-grade pediatric thalamic glioma
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Pediatric gliomas are the most commonly diagnosed brain cancer in children, accounting for approximately 50% of all cases. Work by our group and others has revealed recurrent histone mutations in diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG), astrocytomas that arise in the brainstem of children and boast a dismal median survival of less than one year. In ~70% of DIPG, a mutation in histone variant H3.3 or H3.1 at position 27 leads to substitution of a lysine by a methionine (K27M). When correlated to clinical data, patients harbouring H3-K27M mutations showed a worse prognosis in comparison to patients wild type for H3 (H3-WT), regardless of their histologic grade. Investigation into H3-K27M prevalence in pediatric gliomas revealed that they were not exclusively observed in the brainstem, but rather, in additional midline structures such as the thalamus. However, the clinical relevance of H3-K27M in other midline tumours has not yet been investigated. We hypothesized that H3-K27M would represent a negative prognostic marker in pediatric thalamic gliomas. We searched the Hospital for Sick Children's tumour archives and obtained 86 radiologically confirmed cases of pre-treatment thalamic glioma. The cohort contained 46 male and 40 female patients with a combined median age of diagnosis and survival of 9.04 and 3.88 years, respectively. Of the 86 samples analyzed, 53 were histologically reviewed as low grade malignancies while 33 appeared high grade. Median survival for patients with high grade thalamic gliomas was 1.02 years vs 8.71 years for low grade thalamic glioma patients. Six (11.3%) low grade and 17 (51.5%) high grade gliomas tested positive for the H3-K27M mutation. Patients were clinically annotated for treatment, extent of resection, age of diagnosis and outcome (median follow-up of 10.3 years) and were used to determine the prognostic implications of H3-K27M. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed significantly worse overall survival of thalamic glioma patients harbouring the H3-K27M mutation versus wild type samples (log rank p<0.001) with a median survival of 0.91 vs. 7.23 years for H3-K27M vs. WT thalamic gliomas, respectively. When separated by histologic grade, H3-K27M status remained a prognostic marker in each histologic grade (p=0.021 and p<0.001 for high and low grade tumours, respectively). Interestingly, H3-K27M low grade astrocytomas did worse than H3-WT low grades (p<0.001), yet better than H3-K27M high grades (p<0.001). This suggests the potential for clinical sub-grouping of thalamic tumours based on histologic grade and H3-K27M status. Multivariate analysis including extent of resection, treatment, age of diagnosis, sex, histologic grade and mutation status demonstrated H3-K27M status to be the most significant predictor of overall survival with a hazard ratio of 10.89 (95% confidence intervals 2.86-41.47, p<0.001). Additionally, histologic grade was the only other significant predictor of outcome with a hazard ratio of 5.53 (95% confidence interval of 2.20-13.91, p<0.001). These findings provide the first evidence that H3-K27M is a negative prognostic indicator for pediatric thalamic glioma. Further, the survival difference between H3-K27M mutant low grade and high grade astrocytoma suggests differing biology and a role for “second hits” in dictating the aggressiveness of these tumours. Importantly, it supports prognostic subgrouping based on mutation status and histologic grade. Citation Format: Scott Ryall, Pawel Buczkowicz, Anthony Arnoldo, Rahul Krishnatry, Matthew Mistry, Joshua Rubin, Paul Steinbok, Uri Tabori, Cynthia Hawkins. H3-K27M is a negative prognostic marker in high- and low-grade pediatric thalamic glioma. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference on Chromatin and Epigenetics in Cancer; Sep 24-27, 2015; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(2 Suppl):Abstract nr B12.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".