Bibliographic record
Abstract
Graphical models such as Bayesian networks (BNs) (Pearl, 1988) and decomposable Markov networks (DMNs) (Xiang, Wong & Cercone, 1997) have been applied widely to probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems. Figure1 illustrates a BN and a DMN on a trivial uncertain domain: A virus can damage computer files, and so can a power glitch. A power glitch also causes a VCR to reset. The BN in (a) has four nodes, corresponding to four binary variables taking values from {true, false}. The graph structure encodes a set of dependence and independence assumptions (e.g., that f is directly dependent on v, and p but is independent of r, once the value of p is known). Each node is associated with a conditional probability distribution conditioned on its parent nodes (e.g., P(f | v, p)). The joint probability distribution is the product P(v, p, f, r) = P(f | v, p) P(r | p) P(v) P(p). The DMN in (b) has two groups of nodes that are maximally pair-wise connected, called cliques. Each clique is associated with a probability distribution (e.g., clique {v, p, f} is assigned P(v, p, f)). The joint probability distribution is P(v, p, f, r) = P(v, p, f) P(r, p) / P(p), where P(p) can be derived from one of the clique distributions. The networks, for instance, can be used to reason about whether there are viruses in the computer system, after observations on f and r are made.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.024 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.010 |
| Open science | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.068 | 0.016 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".