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Record W2506481049 · doi:10.2118/183642-pa

A Sensitivity Analysis of Cyclic Solvent Stimulation for Post-CHOPS EOR: Application on an Actual Field Case

2016· article· en· W2506481049 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

VenueSPE Economics & Management · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicReservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
FundersSuncor Energy Incorporated
KeywordsProfitability indexPetroleum engineeringEnhanced oil recoveryOil fieldProduction (economics)Net present valuePetroleumEnvironmental scienceOil productionPresent valueDissolutionEngineeringGeologyEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Summary An uncertainty-screening procedure was performed to assess the feasibility of cyclic solvent stimulation as a post-cold heavy-oil production with sands (CHOPS) enhanced-oil-recovery (EOR) method. To achieve this, three cycles of cyclic solvent stimulation were modeled on a previously history-matched Albertan CHOPS field with 15 wells. The results were compared with a base model at each cycle in terms of oil production, gas production, and gas-injection volumes. The emphasis was on both uncertain parameters (wormhole vertical location, strength of foamy oil, time-dependent gas dissolution/exsolution) and operational input (injection pattern, injection rate, injection/soaking time). It was shown that bottom-located wormholes and nonequilibrium gas dissolution/exsolution could highly affect incremental oil production and project net present values (NPVs), but unfortunately, they cannot be controlled in practice. On the other hand, injection pattern, injection rate, and injection/soaking time, as operational inputs, can contribute to project profitability. Next, an economic model was developed, and after-tax NPV of the field was introduced as an economic indicator. This uncertainty analysis revealed that an increase in operational input such as injection rate may enhance oil recovery from a technical point of view, but does not necessarily increase project profitability (NPVs), yet an optimum value exists. It was shown that such an economic model had the priority to oil-recovery factor or cumulative oil production because it could incorporate costs and sales simultaneously by performing continuous discounting, and allow the asset holder to maximize NPVs by selecting the best development strategy.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.440
Threshold uncertainty score0.432

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.273
Teacher spread0.260 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it