Understanding solar PV and battery adoption in Ontario
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The adoption of solar photovoltaic panels and batteries greatly reduces a grid customer's carbon footprint, while simultaneously reducing their dependency on conventional electricity supply. Given the significance of both outcomes, it is important to understand the potential effect of energy policies on the adoption of these 'PV-battery systems' before they are actually implemented. We therefore design and implement an Agent-Based Model (ABM) that captures the purchase and usage of PV-battery systems. Focusing on Ontario, we use a survey to elicit the responsiveness of residents to potential energy policies. We parameterize the ABM based on survey results to forecast the relative performance of different energy policies. We find that PV-battery system adoption in Ontario is likely to be incremental rather than exponential. Moreover, we find that, of all the policies we evaluated, the most effective way to improve PV-battery system adoption is to significantly reduce its price.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it