MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2512037104 · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511498473.011

Epilogue: Paley's Watch and Other Stories

2004· book-chapter· en· W2512037104 on OpenAlexaff
William F. Harms

Bibliographic record

VenueCambridge University Press eBooks · 2004
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicEvolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNoticeNatural (archaeology)Selection (genetic algorithm)ShoreVariation (astronomy)Natural selectionHistoryVisual artsGeographyArt historyArtGeologyComputer scienceOceanographyArchaeologyPhysicsAstronomyArtificial intelligenceLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Walking along a rocky beach, you notice that rocks and pebbles of different sizes have been arranged according to size in neat bands by the mindless interaction of waves and shore, the ordering effect of differential stability of material arrangements that is no more, and no less, than natural selection itself. A little farther down, you crouch by a tide pool and find, of all things, an old-fashioned pocket watch lying among the seaweed and anemones. The seaweed and anemones are easy enough to understand – natural selection along with the effects of heritable variation, and a lot of time, suffice to account for the lifeforms. The watch is a bit more of a puzzle. Perhaps William Paley has been by, seeding the beach with watches, trying to get us to think, proving the existence of God. That would certainly account for it. Of course, it's not enough to merely propose a hypothesis that would account for the data, if it were true. Paley has been dead for almost two hundred years, and although it is possible that his spirit roams the earth dispensing watches, that's probably not where the watch came from, however well that would explain its presence. Paley asked us to consider whether, finding a watch on the beach, we would note its organized complexity and fitness to its task. From this observation, would we infer that it was the result of random physical processes, or would we infer that it was the product of intelligent design?

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.279
Threshold uncertainty score0.934

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0030.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.005
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.2790.057

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.027
GPT teacher head0.229
Teacher spread0.202 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2004
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueCambridge University Press eBooksSame topicEvolutionary Game Theory and CooperationFrench-language works237,207