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Record W2520819063 · doi:10.1093/afraf/adw056

Uganda's 2016 elections: Not even faking it anymore

2016· article· en· W2520819063 on OpenAlexaff
Rita Abrahamsen, Gerald Bareebe

Bibliographic record

VenueAfrican Affairs · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicGlobal Peace and Security Dynamics
Canadian institutionsInternational Development Research Centre
Fundersnot available
KeywordsnobodyCONTESTPolitical scienceDemocracyBallotSkepticismLawPolitical economyIntimidationPoliticsSociologyVotingTheologyComputer security

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Uganda's 2016 elections may have been the most competitive in the country's long struggle for democracy, but almost everything about this election was a foregone conclusion: nobody expected a free and fair ballot. Nobody expected President Museveni to lose. And nobody was surprised when ‘the Old Man’, Uganda's ruler for the last 30 years, was declared the undisputed winner with 60.6 percent of the vote. Even the post-election condemnations by the donors that have so generously funded Uganda to the tune of US$1,658 million annually were predictable;1 the European Union's election monitors described ‘an atmosphere of intimidation’, while the United States noted ‘irregularities and official conduct that are deeply inconsistent with international standards’.2 While voters turned out in great numbers, they, like the donors, have become sceptical about elections and doubt that Museveni could ever be declared a loser in a contest where he appoints the referees (electoral commissioners) and commands the security apparatus.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.069
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.013
Threshold uncertainty score0.045

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.069
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0050.002
Scholarly communication0.0080.007
Open science0.0010.004
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0130.008

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.284
Teacher spread0.267 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations71
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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