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Record W2533069753 · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.243923

Economic PConsumer demand, export markets help maintain favourable business climate

2014· preprint· en· W2533069753 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Joseph Mawejje, Lakuma Paul

Bibliographic record

VenueAgEcon Search (University of Minnesota, USA) · 2014
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal Financial Crisis and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)Index (typography)Inflation (cosmology)Consumer confidence indexEconomicsClimate changeBusiness cycleBusinessAgricultural economicsGeographyMacroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Uganda business climate has continued to improve for the second successive quarter. This implies that the conditions for doing business in Uganda are getting better. The current (January - March 2014) index is 113.4 points and is 16.4 percentage points higher when compared to the corresponding period last year (January - March 2013) when the index was 97.4 points. The annual improvement in the business climate was sustained by a stronger than expected consumer demand, stable macroeconomic environment characterized by low and falling inflation, stable exchange rates, and lower interest rates. In addition, the business environment was aided by stronger export demand for Ugandan products in both regional and international markets. However, perceptions and expectations for next quarter (April – June 2014) are downcast. Overall, results suggest that the business climate improved modestly but maintained a favourable sentiment. In addition, the business climate index indicates some modest improvements in job creation in the current quarter.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.040
Threshold uncertainty score0.133

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0030.002
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0400.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.224
Teacher spread0.196 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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