Linear Hybrid Deterministic Dynamic Modeling for Time-to-Event Processes: State and Parameter Estimations
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this work, we initiate an innovative alternative modeling approach for time-to-event dynamic processes. The proposed approach is composed of the following basic components: (1) development of continuous-time state of dynamic process, (2) introduction of discrete-time dynamic intervention process, (3) formulation of continuous and discrete-time interconnected dynamic system, (4) utilizing Euler-type discretized schemes, and (5) introduction of conceptual and computational state and parameter estimation procedures. The presented approach is motivated by state and parameter estimation of time-to-event processes in biological, chemical, engineering, epidemiological, medical, military, multiple-markets and social dynamic processes under the influence of discrete-time intervention processes. The role and scope of our approach is exhibited by presenting several well-known hazard/risk rate and survival function estimates as special cases. Moreover, conceptual algorithms are illustrated by time-series data sets under the influence of intervention processes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".