The challenge of separating signatures of local adaptation from those of isolation by distance and colonization history: The case of two white pines
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Accurately detecting signatures of local adaptation using genetic‐environment associations ( GEA s) requires controlling for neutral patterns of population structure to reduce the risk of false positives. However, a high degree of collinearity between climatic gradients and neutral population structure can greatly reduce power, and the performance of GEA methods in such case is rarely evaluated in empirical studies. In this study, we attempted to disentangle the effects of local adaptation and isolation by environment ( IBE ) from those of isolation by distance ( IBD ) and isolation by colonization from glacial refugia ( IBC ) using range‐wide samples in two white pine species. For this, SNP s from 168 genes, including 52 candidate genes for growth and phenology, were genotyped in 133 and 61 populations of Pinus strobus and P. monticola , respectively. For P. strobus and using all 153 SNP s, climate ( IBE ) did not significantly explained among‐population variation when controlling for IBD and IBC in redundancy analyses ( RDA s). However, 26 SNP s were significantly associated with climate in single‐locus GEA analyses (Bayenv2 and LFMM ), suggesting that local adaptation took place in the presence of high gene flow. For P. monticola , we found no evidence of IBE using RDAs and weaker signatures of local adaptation using GEA and F ST outlier tests, consistent with adaptation via phenotypic plasticity. In both species, the majority of the explained among‐population variation (69 to 96%) could not be partitioned between the effects of IBE , IBD , and IBC . GEA methods can account differently for this confounded variation, and this could explain the small overlap of SNP s detected between Bayenv2 and LFMM . Our study illustrates the inherent difficulty of taking into account neutral structure in natural populations and the importance of sampling designs that maximize climatic variation, while minimizing collinearity between climatic gradients and neutral structure.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it