An open-source method of constructing cloud-free composites of forest understory temperature using MODIS
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Surface air temperature (Tair) is a critical driver of ecosystem processes and phenological dynamics, and can be estimated in near-real time with satellite remote sensing. However, persistent cloud cover often creates large spatial and temporal gaps in our observation records. Previous studies have successfully mapped Tair; however, the challenges of mapping forest understory temperatures (Tust) are relatively unexplored. This study describes a methodology for constructing cloud-free composites of Tust at 250 m spatial resolution. We used generalized linear models to correlate daily average Tust with ground-surveyed forest structural characteristics and land surface temperature (LST) obtained from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Models were applied to all four daily MODIS overpasses and combined in to a single image to maximize cloud-free spatial coverage. Pixel temperatures within the remaining cloud gaps were estimated using a temporal averaging algorithm that incorporated a novel approach for factoring the relative cloudiness between days. Models predicted Tust to within 1.5°C (R2 ~ 0.87), with an overall final map accuracy having a mean absolute error of 2.2°C. Maps were produced for two growing seasons using in situ observation data from forested sites throughout the Rocky Mountains of Alberta, Canada. By avoiding complex physical models, our procedure is computationally efficient and capable of processing large volumes of data using open-source programming languages and desktop computers.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it