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Clinical Outcomes for Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL) Patients with 11q Deletion in British Columbia (BC), Canada: Results of a Population-Based Cohort

2014· article· en· W2552111400 on OpenAlexaffabout
Jennifer Goy, Tanya L. Gillan, Huang J.T. Steven, Hélène Bruyèrè, Monica Hrynchak, Aly Karsan, Khaled M. A. Ramadan, Adam C. Smith, Cynthia L. Toze, Alina S. Gerrie

Bibliographic record

VenueBlood · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicChronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Research
Canadian institutionsBC Cancer AgencySt. Paul's HospitalRoyal Columbian HospitalVancouver General HospitalUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineInternal medicineProportional hazards modelPopulationChronic lymphocytic leukemiaOncologyHazard ratioCohortTrisomySurvival analysisLeukemiaConfidence intervalBiologyGenetics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract BACKGROUND The 11q22.3 deletion (11q-) encompassing the ATM locus detected by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) is present in up to 20% of CLL patients (pts), and is associated with an aggressive disease course and poor response to treatment (tx). However, there are few clinical studies that have specifically focused on pts with 11q-. Prognostic factors that may explain the variable outcome in this group have not been investigated, nor have survival outcomes in a population-based setting. Furthermore, few clinical studies have described practice patterns within the 11q- group. This study aims to improve our understanding of the prognosis, management and clinical course of CLL pts with 11q-. METHODS The BC Provincial CLL Database, which includes all pts who have undergone CLL FISH testing in a provincially validated laboratory since 2004, was used to identify all pts in BC (population 4.5 million) with a confirmed 11q- >10% found at any point during the disease course, with or without other detectable FISH abnormalities. Overall survival (OS), treatment-free survival (TFS) (time from diagnosis to first tx/death) and time to second-line treatment (tx) were the main outcomes of interest, and were investigated in relationship to age (<60 vs ≥60 years [yrs]), sex, Rai stage (3-4 vs 0-2), CD38 status, % 11q-, and presence of other recurrent FISH abnormalities (17p deletion [17p-], trisomy 12, 13q deletion, and IGH translocation). Multivariate analysis (MVA) was performed using Cox proportional hazard models with a backwards stepwise selection process to determine predictors of OS/TFS. RESULTS 125 out of 1044 (12%) pts were identified with 11q- detected at any point. Median age at CLL diagnosis was 61 yrs (range, 35-80). At a median follow-up of all patients of 6.3 yrs (range 0.5 - 26.2), median OS and TFS for the entire cohort are 12.6 yrs (standard error [SE] = 1.5 yrs) and 2.5 yrs (SE = 0.5 yrs), respectively. In MVA, advanced Rai stage (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.28-10.8, P=.015), age ≥ 60 yrs (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.2-4.3, P=.012) and male gender (HR 2.4, 95 % CI 1.5-5.3, P=.024) were significant predictors of OS. Clonal evolution (CE) to 11q- and/or other FISH abnormalities was documented in 12 pts. In 9/12 cases, 11q- developed after one or more tx courses whereas, in 3/12 cases, 11q- developed prior to tx initiation at median 5 yrs (range, 3.8-6.5) from initial FISH test. Sixty-nine pts had a documented 11q- pre-tx. At median follow-up of 5.0 yrs (range, 0.5 to 18.7), this group had median OS and TFS of 14.7 (SE =1.8) and 2.5 yrs (SE= 0.5), respectively (Fig 1). Pts with presence of 11q- and 17p- had a markedly worse prognosis compared to those without, with median OS 4.9 vs. 14.7 yrs (P< .001) and TFS of 0.2 vs. 2.5 yrs (P=0.31). In MVA, co-presence of 17p- (HR = 11.3, 95% CI 2.4-52.5, P=.02) and age ≥ 60 yrs (HR 3.8, 95% CI 0.83-17.1, P=.05) were adverse prognostic markers for OS. Age ≥ 60 yrs (HR =2.0, 95% CI 1.0-3.9, P=.03), presence of > 75% 11q- (vs. < 75 % 11q-) (HR = 1.8, 95%CI 1.0-2.3, P=.03) and advanced Rai stage (HR = 7.1, 95%CI 2.4-21.0, P=.01) were associated with shorter TFS. Of this group of 69, 52 pts (75%) received at least one tx course during follow-up. Thirty-three pts received fludarabine +/- rituximab (FR) as first line, 14 pts received alkylator based tx (FC +/- R in 8; CVP +/- R in 5; CHOP + R in 1) and 5 pts received chlorambucil-based +/- R. Pts treated with FR alone had median OS 12.8 yrs (SE=1.0), which was not statistically different from those treated with alkylators , where median OS was 6.8 yrs (SE=2.1), P=.35 (Fig 2). In MVA, receipt of fludarabine vs alkylator-based treatment was not associated with any significant difference in OS (P=.52) or time to 2nd tx (P=.65). CONCLUSION This study is to our knowledge the largest population-based report of CLL pts with 11q- and further enhances our understanding of the clinical course of such pts in a real world setting. Although median TFS of 11q- pts is short at 2.5 yrs, OS remains long at 12.6 yrs. The importance of combined 11q- and 17p- as adverse prognostic markers in CLL is highlighted. Most pts in BC with 11q- received FR as first line therapy. There is retrospective trial data suggesting that first line tx containing alkylators (ie. cyclophosphamide) can overcome the adverse prognostic features of 11q-. However, most of this trial data is from the pre-R era. Though limited in numbers, our study does not suggest that first line tx without alkylators is associated with negative outcomes. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures Toze: Roche: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding. Gerrie:F Hoffmann-La Roche: Other.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.017
Threshold uncertainty score0.124

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.005
Science and technology studies0.0030.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.266
Teacher spread0.255 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2014
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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