MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2560163572 · doi:10.1017/s0266466616000463

INTEGRATED SCORE ESTIMATION

2016· article· en· W2560163572 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueEconometric Theory · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicSpatial and Panel Data Analysis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMathematicsEstimatorRate of convergenceApplied mathematicsInferenceConvergence (economics)Mean squared errorNorm (philosophy)StatisticsMathematical optimizationComputer scienceArtificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

We study the properties of the integrated score estimator (ISE), which is the Laplace version of Manski’s maximum score estimator (MMSE). The ISE belongs to a class of estimators whose basic asymptotic properties were studied in Jun, Pinkse, and Wan (2015, Journal of Econometrics 187(1), 201–216). Here, we establish that the MMSE, or more precisely $$\root 3 \of n |\hat \theta _M - \theta _0 |$$ , (locally first order) stochastically dominates the ISE under the conditions necessary for the MMSE to attain its $\root 3 \of n $ convergence rate and that the ISE has the same convergence rate as Horowitz’s smoothed maximum score estimator (SMSE) under somewhat weaker conditions. An implication of the stochastic dominance result is that the confidence intervals of the MMSE are for any given coverage rate wider than those of the ISE, provided that the input parameter α n is not chosen too large. Further, we introduce an inference procedure that is not only rate adaptive as established in Jun et al. (2015), but also uniform in the choice of α n . We propose three different first order bias elimination procedures and we discuss the choice of input parameters. We develop a computational algorithm for the ISE based on the Gibbs sampler and we examine implementational issues in detail. We argue in favor of normalizing the norm of the parameter vector as opposed to fixing one of the coefficients. Finally, we evaluate the computational efficiency of the ISE and the performance of the ISE and the proposed inference procedure in an extensive Monte Carlo study.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.514
Threshold uncertainty score0.991

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0140.010

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.203
Teacher spread0.166 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it