Reflections on the IPCC and global change science: Time for a more (physical) geographical tradition
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Key Messages Single factor climate change metrics, such as global mean temperature increase or global sea level rise, have little meaning for the explanation of landscape scale change. Global scale analyses struggle to incorporate landscape settings; the role of climatic variability alongside secular change; intrinsic systems feedbacks which modulate external forcing; and spatial and temporal cascades of energy and matter. The ultimate goal of global change research should be the study of the implications of climate change for human lives and livelihoods and here the geographical tradition can make a significant contribution.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.033 | 0.051 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.038 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.012 | 0.027 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Research integrity | 0.018 | 0.050 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.019 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".