Futures approaches in ICT for agriculture policy development in South Africa: Using value chain frameworks to enhance validity
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Futures methodology is a structured means of visioning and presenting possible futures, and is used to inform policy development and decision making. The Futures approach is inherently participatory, allows multi disciplinarity and demands critical thinking. However, the quality of policy that is developed, based on Futures approaches, is unclear. The value chain approach could provide a more comprehensive, systemic view and could serve to structure the Futures approach and direct its output towards value creation, with the overall goal of rural economic development. This article describes a process to develop policy for the role of ICT in agriculture in the context of various drivers of rural economic development in South Africa. This is accomplished through the examination of the outputs of a Futures workshop with government role players and mapping thereof against a value chain framework.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.043 | 0.041 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.007 | 0.007 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.010 | 0.026 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.018 | 0.027 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.010 |
| Research integrity | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.010 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".