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Influence of Climate Change, Fire, Insect and Harvest on Carbon Dynamics for Jack Pine in Central Canada: Simulation Approach with the EFIMOD Model

2009· article· en· W257650140 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Jagtar S. Bhatti, Oleg Chertov, Alexander Komarov

Bibliographic record

VenueThe International Journal of Climate Change Impacts and Responses · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInsectClimate changeEnvironmental scienceEcologyCarbon fibersBiologyComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Changes in disturbance regimes, both natural and anthropogenic, will be an important mechanism by which northern ecosystems respond to climate change, and are an important feedback mechanism in changing ecosystem processes. A forest ecosystem model, EFIMOD, was applied to the jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) stands in Central Canada to simulate the influence of climate warming, fire, insects and harvesting on jack pine productivity and pools of soil carbon (C). For the climate change simulations, temperature and precipitation prediction data from three General Circu- lationModels(GCMs)wereused:theCanadianClimateCentreforModellingandAnalysis,CGCM2; the UK Hadley Centre, HadCM3; and the Australian CSIRO Mark 2 GCM. In all three of these scen- arios, whole trees biomass increased, whereas the soil organic C pool consistently decreased. The CSIRO and CGCM scenarios had the strongest affect on biomass, soil, and ecosystem processes (net primary productivity, soil respiration, and net ecosystem productivity). Assessing the net ecosystem productivity over 150 years for jack pine stands shows a C sink under different disturbance regimes: 'nodisturbances>harvest-fire>twofires>insectattack>harvesting>fire-harvest';andnetcarbon source under a four fires scenario. The disturbance frequency was found to have a strong and lasting influence onthedynamicsoftheCstocks,andadirecteffectonCsource/sinkrelationship.Soilnitrogen content, which reflect the productivity potential, modify the effect of climate change and disturbances.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.403
Threshold uncertainty score0.995

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.026
GPT teacher head0.262
Teacher spread0.236 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueThe International Journal of Climate Change Impacts and ResponsesSame topicFire effects on ecosystemsFrench-language works237,207