The Bank Sector Performance and Macroeconomics Environment: Empirical Evidence in Togo
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This article investigates short-run and long-run relationship between three main macroeconomic indicators (gross domestic product growth, real effective exchange rate, and inflation) and banking sector profitability (measured by return on assets and return on equity) in Togo, from 2006 to 2015, by using Pool Mean Group estimator. Results show that, in the short-run, banks’ return on assets and return on equity are not related to macroeconomic variables. But banks’ return on assets is determined positively by bank capital to assets ratio and bank size while banks’ return on equity is affected negatively by bank capital to assets ratio. However, in the long-run, real gross domestic product growth and real effective exchange rate affect negatively and statistically significant banks’ return on assets, while inflation rate has no effect. Concerning bank’s return on equity, in the long-run, results suggest that real gross domestic product growth, real effective exchange rate, and inflation affect negatively bank’s return on equity. These results imply that to stabilize bank profitability and make Togolese banking sector more resilient, policymakers and banking sector managers must, among others, try to improve real gross domestic product growth, real effective exchange rate, and inflation volatility anticipation.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".