Finding the Stripes: Distinguishing Bipolar Disorder From Major Depressive Disorder
Bibliographic record
Abstract
“When you hear hoof beats, think of horses not zebras” (Sotos, 2006Sotos J.G. Zebra Cards: An Aid to Obscure Diagnoses. Mt. Vernon Book Systems, Mt. Vernon, VA2006Google Scholar). This aphorism was coined by physician Theodore Woodward of the University of Maryland School of Medicine in the 1940s. The aim was to help medical students learn to differentiate between the common and the rare as these have implications for treatment and outcomes. While major depressive disorder is more common and bipolar disorder more rare, distinguishing the two is clinically difficult as they share many common features, especially during depressive episodes (Phillips and Kupfer, 2013Phillips M.L. Kupfer D.J. Bipolar disorder diagnosis: challenges and future directions.Lancet. 2013; 381: 1663-1671Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (377) Google Scholar). Indeed, a recent study by Holmskov et al., 2016Holmskov J. Licht R.W. Andersen K. Bjerregaard Stage T. Morkeberg Nilsson F. Bjerregaard Stage K. et al.Diagnostic conversion to bipolar disorder in unipolar depressed patients participating in trials on antidepressants.Eur. Psychiatry. 2016; 40: 76-81Crossref PubMed Google Scholar found that 1 in 5 participants in clinical trials for antidepressants underwent a diagnostic conversion from unipolar depression to bipolar depression over time. This means that a substantial number of people with bipolar disorder were actually misdiagnosed, sometimes for years. Further to this, a survey of patients with bipolar disorder in 2000 found that for over a third of patients, an accurate diagnosis took over a decade (Hirschfeld et al., 2003Hirschfeld R.M. Lewis L. Vornik L.A. Perceptions and impact of bipolar disorder: how far have we really come? Results of the national depressive and manic-depressive association 2000 survey of individuals with bipolar disorder.J. Clin. Psychiatry. 2003; 64: 161-174Crossref PubMed Google Scholar). This is troubling as data has shown a 10% less likelihood of recovery for each year treatment is delayed for bipolar disorder (Lish et al., 1994Lish J.D. Dime-Meenan S. Whybrow P.C. Price R.A. Hirschfeld R.M. The National Depressive and Manic-depressive Association (DMDA) survey of bipolar members.J. Affect. Disord. 1994; 31: 281-294Crossref PubMed Scopus (787) Google Scholar). Time is simply not a luxury found in treating bipolar disorder. Another potential cost to getting diagnosis wrong is that antidepressants carry the risk of triggering mania, and may increase the rates of cycling between mood states (Baldessarini et al., 2010Baldessarini R.J. Vieta E. Calabrese J.R. Tohen M. Bowden C.L. Bipolar depression: overview and commentary.Harv. Rev. Psychiatry. 2010; 18: 143-157Crossref PubMed Scopus (129) Google Scholar). This means making the right diagnosis is critical for a more positive outcome. Given these circumstances, accurately distinguishing between the relative zebra (bipolar disorder) and the horse (major depressive disorder) is important. The question is, since this is so difficult to do clinically, are there other approaches that show potential? In this issue of EBioMedicine, Niu et al., 2017Niu M. Wang Y. Jia Y. Wang J. Zhong S. Lin J. et al.Common and specific abnormalities in cortical thickness in patients with major depressive and bipolar disorders.EBioMedicine. 2017; 16: 162-171Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (47) Google Scholar used magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to compare regional cortical thickness in both major depressive disorder and bipolar disorder in a rare head to head contrast. Their approach used high quality MRI data, substantial and well characterized samples, along with a relatively objective image analysis approach. As expected, given the symptom overlap, some regions show deficits in both groups (i.e., left inferior temporal cortex) while others distinguished the two (i.e., left rostral middle frontal cortex). The bipolar disorder group showed abnormalities in the frontal pole that were associated with clinical variables like age of onset. In keeping with the metaphor, this approach is allowing researchers to pick out the stripes of the zebra. Other researchers have used a similar approach to hunt for differences between closely related diagnostic groups using MRI (Langevin et al., 2015Langevin L.M. MacMaster F.P. Dewey D. Distinct patterns of cortical thinning in concurrent motor and attention disorders.Dev. Med. Child Neurol. 2015; 57: 257-264Crossref PubMed Scopus (54) Google Scholar, MacMaster et al., 2014MacMaster F.P. Carrey N. Langevin L.M. Jaworska N. Crawford S. Disorder-specific volumetric brain difference in adolescent major depressive disorder and bipolar depression.Brain Imaging Behav. 2014; 8: 119-127Crossref PubMed Scopus (55) Google Scholar, Fallucca et al., 2011Fallucca E. MacMaster F.P. Haddad J. Easter P. Dick R. May G. et al.Distinguishing between major depressive disorder and obsessive-compulsive disorder in children by measuring regional cortical thickness.Arch. Gen. Psychiatry. 2011; 68: 527-533Crossref PubMed Scopus (47) Google Scholar). MRI is well tolerated, widely available, and has a minimum risk associated with it. As a tool for the identification of potential biomarkers, it has remarkable potential. A biomarker is an objectively measured and evaluated characteristic that acts as an indicator of diagnostic status or response to intervention. To be applied as a surrogate clinical measure, biomarkers must have a strong evidence base, including likely biological relationships and prognostic value. For biological relationships to symptoms, the inferior temporal cortex and rostral middle frontal cortex both play a critical role in mood regulation. The initial stage of biomarker research involves exploration and validation at single sites. This is followed by characterization and surrogacy in a multi-site collaborative study. Such validation studies appraise the performance of the proposed biomarkers, ensuring construct validity. The next step needed to build on the work by Niu et al., 2017Niu M. Wang Y. Jia Y. Wang J. Zhong S. Lin J. et al.Common and specific abnormalities in cortical thickness in patients with major depressive and bipolar disorders.EBioMedicine. 2017; 16: 162-171Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (47) Google Scholar would be to validate and replicate their findings. To truly transform mood disorders, diagnostic biomarkers are needed. While some could argue that the cost of MRI data acquisition and subsequent analysis is high, the cost of getting the diagnosis wrong is potentially even higher, especially for those afflicted. The work by Niu et al., 2017Niu M. Wang Y. Jia Y. Wang J. Zhong S. Lin J. et al.Common and specific abnormalities in cortical thickness in patients with major depressive and bipolar disorders.EBioMedicine. 2017; 16: 162-171Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (47) Google Scholar in this issue may be the first step in the development of a diagnostic biomarker for distinguishing bipolar disorder from major depressive disorder. If pursued and validated, this approach would fulfil one of the major promises of brain imaging to psychiatry. The author declared no conflicts of interest. Common and Specific Abnormalities in Cortical Thickness in Patients with Major Depressive and Bipolar DisordersMajor depressive disorder (MDD) and bipolar disorder (BD) are severe psychiatric diseases with overlapping symptomatology. Although previous studies reported abnormal brain structures in MDD or BD patients, the disorder-specific underlying neural mechanisms remain poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to investigate the whole-brain gray matter morphological patterns in unmedicated patients with MDD or BD and to identify the shared and disease-specific brain morphological alterations in these two disorders. Full-Text PDF Open Access
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".