Validation of Monosomal Karyotype Based Model In the Risk Stratification of Acute Myeloid Leukemia
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Abstract 2745 Background: The influence of cytogenetic abnormalities on the prognosis of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) has been well-documented; however, the relative impact of certain miscellaneous abnormalities remains controversial. Recently, monosomal karyotype-based risk stratification has been shown to further discriminate the prognosis within the poor-risk karyotype group (Breems et al. JCO 2008), but this finding requires further validation. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 779 consecutive adult AML patients treated with standard induction chemotherapy, consisting of daunorubicin plus cytarabine (3+7), at our institution from 1998–2008. After excluding patients with favourable risk, normal, missing or failed karyotype, 290 patients remained and were included in the analysis. Results: The baseline characteristics of these 290 patients were as follows: median age 59 y (range 18–81), male 181, prior malignancy 110, median white cell count (WBC) 7.6 × 10^9/L (range 0–246). The karyotypic features included single monosomy in 42, 2 or more monosomies in 51, and non-monosomy structural and numerical abnormalities in 197 patients. Of the 290, 116 (40 %) had three or more abnormalities (complex karyotype, CK). A total of 141 patients (49 %) achieved complete remission (CR) with 3+7 induction chemotherapy. Sixty-four patients received allogeneic stem cell transplantation in CR. The median overall survival (OS) for all patients was 12 months (95% CI: 10–14 months). The median OS was 10 (95% CI: 6–18), 7 (95% CI: 6–10) and 14 months (95% CI: 12–16) in the single monosomy, 2+ monosomy and non-monosomy groups, respectively (p < 0.0001 by log-rank test comparing the three groups). Among the patients containing at least one monosomy, the OS was not significantly different between the CK and non-CK groups (p = 0.08 by log rank). Similarly, in the non-monosomy structural abnormality group, the OS was not significantly different between the CK and non-CK groups (p = 0.2). Conclusions: Our results provide validation for the monosomal karyotype-based risk stratification for AML, indicating that patients with at least one monosomy have an inferior OS compared to other poor-risk non-monosomy groups. Within each of the monosomy and non-monosomy groups, the presence of a complex karyotype does not significantly influence the OS. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.014 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".