Estimation when the Covariance Structure of the Variable of Interest is Positive Definite
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Generalized regression (GREG) estimation uses a model that assumes that the values of the variable of interest are not correlated. An extension of the GREG estimator to the case where the vector of interest has a positive definite covariance structure is presented in this article. This extension can be translated to the calibration estimators. The key to this extension lies in a generalization of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator which, in some sense, also assumes that the values of the variable of interest are not correlated. The Godambe-Joshi lower bound is another result which assumes a model with no correlation. This is also generalized to a vector of interest with a positive definite covariance structure, and it is shown that the generalized calibration estimator asymptotically attains this generalized lower bound. Properties of the new estimators are given, and they are compared with the Horvitz-Thompson estimator and the usual calibration estimator. The new estimators are applied to the Canadian Reverse Record Check survey and to the problem of variance estimation.
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Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it