Minimax robust designs for wavelet estimation of nonparametric regression models with autocorrelated errors
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We discuss the construction of designs for estimation of nonparametric regression models with autocorrelated errors when the mean response is to be approximated by a finite order linear combination of dilated and translated versions of the Daubechies wavelet bases with four vanishing moments. We assume that the parameters of the resulting model will be estimated by weighted least squares (WLS) or by generalized least squares (GLS). The bias induced by the unused components of the wavelet bases, in the linear approximation, then inflates the natural variation of the WLS and GLS estimates. We therefore construct our designs by minimizing the maximum value of the average mean squared error (AMSE). Such designs are said to be robust in the minimax sense. Our illustrative examples are constructed by using the simulated annealing algorithm to select an optimal [Formula: see text]-point design, which are integers, from a grid of possible values of the explanatory or design variable [Formula: see text]. We found that the integer-valued designs we constructed based on GLS estimation, have smaller minimum loss when compared to the designs for WLS or ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation, except when the correlation parameter [Formula: see text] approaches 1.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.011 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it