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Record W2598092628 · doi:10.1016/0967-0653(95)95067-2

10.1016/0967-0653(95)95067-2

2000· article· en· W2598092628 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

venuePublished in a venue whose home country is Canada.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueTime to knit · 2000
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicMarine and fisheries research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSwordfishPopulationBootstrapping (finance)EconometricsProduction (economics)Computer scienceStatisticsMathematicsEconomicsFishery

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Cooperative Unit for Fisheries Education and Research Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science University of Miami. 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway. Miami. Florida 33149 Abstract.-Surplus-production models, because of their simplicity and relatively undemanding data needs, are attractive tools for many stock assessments. This paper reviews the logistic production model, starting with the basic differential equation and continuing with a description ofthe model development without the equilibrium assumption. It then describes several extensions, including tuning the model to a biomass index; partitioning fishing mortality by gear, time, or area; and making projections. Computation of confidence intervals on quantities of interest (e.g. maximum sustainable yield (MSY), effort at MSY, level ofstock biomass relative to the optimum level) can be done through bootstrapping, and the bootstrap can also be used to construct nonparametric tests of hypotheses about changes in catchability. To fit the model, an algorithm that uses a forward solution of the population equations can be implemented on a small computer. An example of the utility of surplus-production models (illustrating several of these extensions) is given. The example is loosely based on swordfish <Xiphias gladius) in the North Atlantic Ocean, but is not intended to describe the actual status ofthat stock. Despite the prevalence ofage-structured population models, surplusproduction models-which generally do not incorporate age structure-remain useful for analysis of fish population dynamics. These models are of particular value when the catch cannot be aged, or cannot be aged precisely, and therefore agestructured models cannot be applied. Surplus-production models are also useful as a complement to age-structured models, providing another view of the data and the fisheries. An especially appealing aspect ofproduction models is their simplicity; from a scientific point of view, this makes exploration oftheir properties easier; from a management point of view, it makes their results easier to present and understand (Barber, 1988). In this paper, I show that another benefit of these models' simplicity is that model extensions are easily made. Examples ofsuch extensions include modeling several simultaneous or sequential fisheries on the same stock, tuning the model to a biomass index (as is often done in age-structured models; e.g. the CAGEAN model of Deriso et aI., 1985; the CAL model of Parrack, 1986; the ADAPT model ofGavaris, 1988), modeling changes in catchability or population characteristics (e.g. carrying capacity), and estimating missing values of fishing effort. Many of these extensions have not been presented before. The comprehensiveness of a production model can be further increased by introducing another extension: computation of nonparametric estimates of variability in the results. These can be obtained by bootstrapping, and can be used both to describe the results more completely and to learn more about the model's behavior under a variety of circumstances. After reviewing the formulation of the simplest surplus-production model (the logistic model), a number of extensions to the model are described. An example, loosely based on swordfish, Xiphias gladius, in the North Atlantic Ocean, is presented to illustrate typical results from the model and the use ofmany ofthe extensions. The example, which is not intended to be an assessment of that stock, should not be used to make inferences about stock status.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.672
Threshold uncertainty score0.380

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)1.0000.999

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.182
Teacher spread0.174 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it