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Record W2599092811

Estimation from Aggregate Data

2008· article· fr· W2599092811 on OpenAlexaff
Evans Gouno, Luc Courtrai, Marc Frédette

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2008
Typearticle
Languagefr
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsHEC Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAggregate (composite)Aggregate dataData setEstimationReliability (semiconductor)Computer scienceSet (abstract data type)Process (computing)HazardStochastic processStatisticsEconometricsData miningAlgorithmMathematicsEngineeringEcology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A statistical methodology to handle aggregate data is proposed. Aggregate data arise in many fields such as medical science, ecology, social science, reliability, etc. They can be described as follows: individuals are moving progressively along a finite set of states and observations are made in a time window split into several intervals. At each observation time, the only available information is the number of individuals in each state and the history of each item viewed as a stochastic process is thus lost. The time spent in a given state is unknown. Using a data completion technique, an estimation of the hazard rate in each state based on sojourn times is obtained and an estimation of the survival function is deduced. These methods are studied through simulations and applied to a data set. The simulation study shows that the algorithms involved in the methods converge and are robust.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.970
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.208
GPT teacher head0.425
Teacher spread0.217 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2008
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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