Bayesian Learning for Dynamic Feature Extraction With Application in Soft Sensing
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Data-driven techniques such as principal component analysis (PCA) have been widely used to derive predictive models from historical data and applied for quality prediction in industry. Motivated by reducing data collinearity and extracting informative driving forces behind data, latent variable models are explored to facilitate the prediction by regressing data on a set of extracted features. In this paper, a novel learning strategy is proposed to build dynamic features under a full Bayesian framework, incorporating data information and prior knowledge of process dynamics. Unlike the traditional PCA that extracts features based on variances explained, in this paper, the latent features are extracted with the guidance of preferred velocities of nominal variations. By applying Bayesian learning algorithms, parameters are estimated with probability distributions accounting for corresponding uncertainties, and the number of latent features can be automatically determined by the variational Bayesian inference algorithm. The effectiveness and practicability of this Bayesian dynamic feature regression are demonstrated through simulated examples as well as an industrial case study.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it