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Record W2601744016 · doi:10.7172/1644-9584.60.10

Wiggles and Curves: The Analysis of Ordinal Patterns

2016· article· en· W2601744016 on OpenAlexaff
Warren Thorngate, Chunyun Ma

Bibliographic record

VenueProblemy Zarządzania - Management Issues · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsOrdinal dataOrdinal optimizationStatisticsMathematicsComputer scienceEconometrics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Almost all social science data are analysed with variants of the General Linear Model (GLM): regression analyses, analyses of variance, factor analyses, path analyses and the like. However, many interesting and important social phenomena cannot be addressed with the GLM. Ordinal Pattern Analysis (OPA) was developed to examine such excluded phenomena. OPA is a goodness-of-fit procedure for calculating indices of how well a researcher's ordinal predictions match the ordinal properties of data at hand. While the GLM requires raw data to be aggregated across individuals or groups first before being analysed, OPA permits the reverse: Raw data from each individual or group can first be analysed, then aggregated. The reversal reveals what occurs "in general" rather than "on average" – two revelations that often diverge. We illustrate some uses of OPA with simple examples, and provide a computer programme for expediting OPA calculations.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.455
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.220
Teacher spread0.196 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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