Competing risks of death in NCIC CTG MA.27 adjuvant exemestane versus anastrozole.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
564 Background: Our group previously examined if baseline patient/tumor characteristics, or prior treatment affected cause of death in MA.17, a placebo controlled extended adjuvant trial of the aromatase inhibitor (AI) letrozole. We now examine factor effects on all cause mortality in MA.27. Methods: MA.27 was an adjuvant phase III superiority trial of 5 yrs of exemestane vs anastrozole, in ER+ postmenopausal breast cancer accrued between 2003 and 2008; event free survival was similar. We examined by intention-to-treat, the multivariate time-to-breast cancer-specific (BrCa), cardiovascular (Cardio), and other causes (OT) of death with log-normal survival analysis adjusted by treatment and stratification factors (lymph node status, adjuvant chemotherapy, celecoxib, aspirin, and trastuzumab). We tested whether factors were associated with 1) all cause mortality, and if so, 2) cause-specific mortality. We also fit step-wise forward cause-specific adjusted models. Results: 7,576 women (median age 64.1 years; 5417 (71.5%) <70 yrs and 2159 (28.5%) >70 yrs) were enrolled and followed for a median of 4.1 yrs. The 432 deaths comprised: 187 (43.3%) BrCa, 66 (15.3%) Cardiovascular, and 179 (41.4%) OT MA.27 therapy was not associated with mortality (p=0.84). Five baseline factors were differentially associated with cause of death. Older age was associated with greater BrCa (p=0.03), Cardio (p<0.001), and OT (p<0.001) mortality. Pre-existing cardiovascular history led to worse Cardio mortality (p<0.001). Worse ECOG performance status led to worse OT death (p<0.001). T1 tumors were associated with less BrCa mortality (p<0.001). PgR+ tumors were also associated with less BrCa mortality (p<0.001). There were fewer BrCa deaths with Node –ve disease (p<0.001), ER+ tumors (p=0.001) and without adjuvant chemotherapy (p=0.005); there was worse Cardio mortality (p=0.01) with receipt of trastuzumab; worse OT (p=0.03) for non-whites, and without adjuvant radiotherapy (p=0.003). Conclusions: 56.7% of deaths in MA.27 patients were non-breast cancer related. We showed baseline patient and tumor characteristics, and prior treatment differentially affected cause of death. Clinical trial information: NCT00066573.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".