Wait times and patterns of care in the colorectal cancer diagnostic interval
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACTObjectiveThere is concern that patients are waiting too long to be diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) after presenting to the healthcare system. A prolonged time from first presentation to diagnosis, also known as the diagnostic interval, may be harmful to patients and indicate problems with the delivery of healthcare. The purpose of this study is to measure the length of the CRC diagnostic interval and describe variations in care that patients receive within the interval. ApproachThis is a population-based, cross-sectional study of CRC patients diagnosed in Ontario, Canada between 2009 and 2012 using data from the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES). The diagnostic interval will be measured using physician billing, hospital discharge, emergency room and registry data. Patients’ healthcare encounters in the 18 months before diagnosis will be analyzed using control charts to identify the earliest cancer-related encounter. The diagnostic interval will be defined as the date of this first relevant healthcare encounter to the CRC diagnosis date. Cluster analysis will be used to identify and characterize groups of patients with similar diagnostic intervals, based on the care received within the interval. Analyses will examine factors associated with the length of the diagnostic interval and care received within the diagnostic interval. Results Analyses for this project are ongoing and will be complete by August 2016. Results from this study will describe the length of the CRC diagnostic interval and relevant sub-intervals, and variations in these intervals according to patient and clinical characteristics. Results will describe the care that patients received within the interval, including the number and types of tests received and physicians involved in the interval, and whether the care received in the interval was associated with how long patients wait for diagnosis. ConclusionThe findings from this study will advance our understanding of the CRC diagnostic interval. The control chart methodology used to identify CRC-related healthcare encounters from administrative health data is an improvement on previous research that has used arbitrary time periods and encounters which likely underestimate the length of the diagnostic interval. The cluster analysis method is a novel approach to characterizing the diagnostic interval that will identify common patterns of care and diagnostic pathways using administrative health data. This study will provide population-level estimates of how long patients are waiting to be diagnosed with CRC and provide an understanding of how patterns of care influence the length of the diagnostic interval.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".