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Long-Term Outcomes in a Population-based Cohort with Respiratory Nontuberculous Mycobacteria Isolation

2017· article· en· W2606518677 on OpenAlexaff
Emily Henkle, Shannon Novosad, Sean Shafer, Katrina Hedberg, Sarah Siegel, Jennifer H Ku, Cara D Varley, D. Rebecca Prevots, Theodore K. Marras, Kevin Winthrop

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnals of the American Thoracic Society · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMycobacterium research and diagnosis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
FundersNational Center for Advancing Translational SciencesNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
KeywordsMedicineNontuberculous mycobacteriaIsolation (microbiology)CohortTerm (time)PopulationMycobacterium avium complexCulture conversionRespiratory systemIntensive care medicineInternal medicineMicrobiologyTuberculosisMycobacteriumPathologySputumEnvironmental health

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

RATIONALE: The natural history of nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) respiratory infection in the general population is poorly understood. OBJECTIVES: To describe the long-term clinical, microbiologic, and radiographic outcomes of patients with respiratory NTM isolates. METHODS: We previously identified a population-based cohort of patients with respiratory NTM isolation during 2005-2006 and categorized patients as cases or noncases using the American Thoracic Society/Infectious Diseases Society of America pulmonary NTM disease criteria at that time. During 2014-2015, we reviewed medical charts of patients alive on January 1, 2007. Outcomes of interest were the proportion of baseline noncases who later met case criteria and the proportions of patients with culture conversion or findings consistent with persistent disease at least 2-5 years and at least 5 years after first isolation. We defined disease persistence radiographically as infiltrate, nodules, or cavities and microbiologically as a positive respiratory mycobacterial culture. We used logistic regression to evaluate factors associated with evidence of persistence. RESULTS: The study included 172 patients (62% of 278 eligible); those not included either refused consent (n = 47) or were not located (n = 56). One hundred two (59%) included patients met case criteria at baseline. Mycobacterium avium complex was commonly isolated among baseline cases (n = 91 [89%]) and noncases (n = 52 [74%]). Overall, 57 (55%) baseline cases had died, as compared with 43 (61%) noncases (P = 0.47). Among baseline noncases, only four (5.7%) later met case criteria. Overall, 55 (54%) baseline cases and 6 (9%) noncases initiated NTM treatment. Among cases, cultures were converted in 25 (64.1%) treated versus 4 (40%) untreated patients (P = 0.04). Of 89 cases alive 2 years after isolation, 61 (69%) had additional radiography, and 35 (39%) had respiratory cultures. Of these individuals, 54 (89%) had radiographic evidence and 17 (49%) had microbiologic evidence of disease persistence. At 5 years after first isolation these figures were 36 (82%) and 13 (54%), respectively. Women were more likely to have persistent radiographic findings and microbiologic persistence, and patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were less likely to have microbiologic persistence. CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, follow-up beyond 2 years of patients with respiratory NTM isolation is limited. Among those with additional evaluations, at least half of individuals have persistent positive cultures or radiographic findings consistent with NTM at least 2 years after isolation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.007

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.088
GPT teacher head0.422
Teacher spread0.334 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations26
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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