Towards personalized tumor markers
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The cancer biomarker discovery pipeline is progressing slowly. The difficulties of finding novel and effective biomarkers for diagnosis and management of cancer patients are well-known. We speculate that it is unlikely to discover new serological biomarkers characterized by high sensitivity and specificity. This projection is supported by recent findings that cancers are genetically highly heterogeneous. Here, we propose a new way of improving the landscape of cancer biomarker research. There are currently hundreds, if not thousands, of described biomarkers which perform at high specificity (> 90%), but at relatively low sensitivity (< 30%). We call these "rare tumor markers." Borrowing from the principles of precision medicine, we advocate that among these low sensitivity markers, some may be useful to specific patients. We suggest screening new patients for hundreds to thousands of cancer biomarkers to identify a few that are informative, and then use them clinically. This is similar to what we currently do with genomics to identify personalized therapies. We further suggest that this approach may explain as to why some biomarkers are elevated in only a small group of patients. It is likely that these differences in expression are linked to specific genomic alterations, which could then be found with genomic sequencing.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.017 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.007 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.011 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.008 | 0.006 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".