Role of Cytotoxic Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes in Predicting Outcomes in Metastatic HER2-Positive Breast Cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
IMPORTANCE: Accumulating evidence indicates that tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are associated with clinical outcomes and may predict the efficacy of chemotherapy and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2, encoded by the gene ERBB2)-targeted therapy in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the role of TILs, particularly cytotoxic CD8+ T cells, in the prediction of outcomes in patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer randomized to an antibody-based (trastuzumab) vs a small molecule-based (lapatinib) anti-HER2 therapy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The Canadian Cancer Trials Group MA.31 phase 3 clinical trial accrued patients from 21 countries and randomized 652 with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer to receive trastuzumab or lapatinib, in combination with a taxane, from January 17, 2008, through December 1, 2011. Patients had received no prior chemotherapy or HER2-targeted therapy in the metastatic setting. The median follow-up was 21.5 months (interquartile range, 14.3-31.0). The tumor tissue collected for primary diagnosis was used in this ad hoc substudy. Sections were scored for TILs on hematoxylin-eosin (H&E)-stained sections, and immunohistochemical analysis was performed to assess CD8, FOXP3, CD56, and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) expression on stromal (sTILs) and intratumoral TILs. Data were analyzed from July 15, 2015, through July 27, 2016. INTERVENTIONS: Treatment with trastuzumab or lapatinib in combination with taxane chemotherapy (paclitaxel or docetaxel) for 24 weeks. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Prognostic effects of biomarkers were evaluated for progression-free survival by stratified univariate log-rank test with Kaplan-Meier curves and by multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression; predictive effects were examined with a test of interaction between treatment allocation and biomarker classification. RESULTS: Of the 647 treated women (mean [SD] age, 55.0 [10.8] years), 614 had tumor tissue samples scored for H&E sTILs and 427 for CD8 biomarker assessments. Overall H&E sTIL counts of greater than 5% (high) were present in 215 cases (35%) but did not show significant prognostic or predictive effects. Univariate stratified analyses detected a significant predictive effect on risk for progression with lapatinib compared with trastuzumab among patients with low CD8+ sTIL counts (observed hazard ratio, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.40-6.17; P = .003) and among those with high CD8+ sTIL counts (observed hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.05-1.75; P = .02), confirmed in stepwise multivariate analysis (interaction P = .04). Other immunohistochemistry biomarkers were not associated with prognostic or predictive effects. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this secondary analysis of a phase 3 randomized clinical trial, a low level of preexisting cytotoxic sTILs predicted the most benefit from an antibody- vs a small molecule-based drug against the same target. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00667251.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".