Predicting treatment outcomes of pain patients attending tertiary multidisciplinary pain treatment centers: A pain trajectory approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Though multidisciplinary pain treatment (MPT) is considered the gold standard for managing chronic pain, it is unclear which patients benefit most from this high-cost treatment approach.Aims: The goals were to identify subgroups of patients sharing similar pain severity trajectories over time and predictors of MPT responsiveness.Methods: Participants were 1894 patients (mean age = 53.18 years [SD = 14.0]; female = 60.3%) enrolled in the Quebec Pain Registry with moderate to severe baseline pain severity. Patients completed validated questionnaires on pain and related constructs before initiating treatment and 6, 12, and 24 months later.Results: Trajectory analyses of pain severity (intensity and interference) showed that a three-class model best fit the data. Two of the trajectories, which included 24.5% of patients, showed significant improvement in pain severity levels over time (improvers). Compared to patients in the nonimproving trajectory (non-improvers), improvers were younger and more likely to suffer from neuropathic pain and had pain of shorter duration, lower worst pain intensity, lower sleep disturbances and depression scores at baseline, a lower tendency to catastrophize, and better physical health–related quality of life (QOL). This predictive model had a specificity of 96.2% and a sensitivity of 23.6%.Conclusions: Only a minority of patients exhibited an improvement in their pain severity with MPT. Several patients’ characteristics were significantly associated with pain trajectory membership. Early identification of nonimprovers, through examination of baseline characteristics and rates of change in pain scores, can provide valuable information about prognosis and open the doors for evaluation of different cost-effective treatment approaches.Abbreviations: CP = chronic pain; MPT = multidisciplinary pain treatment; QPR = Quebec Pain Registry; QOL = quality of life.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".