The case for government‐run liquor stores in the Australian Northern Territory: Looking outside the box in regulating the supply of alcohol
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Northern Territory (NT) stands out compared with the rest of Australia in terms of rates of alcohol-related harms. A dramatic example is the rate of deaths attributable to alcohol—3.5 times as high as the national rate, including twice as high for the non-Indigenous population 1. An intrinsic element in the problem is that the level of alcohol consumption per person aged 15+ years in the NT is higher than elsewhere in Australia. In 2014, NT consumption, at 12.30 l of pure alcohol per year 2, was the highest in any Australian jurisdiction—26.7% higher than the 9.71 average for Australia as a whole 3. In these circumstances, it is highly appropriate that the NT government has commissioned a review of ‘how we manage and regulate the supply of alcohol’ 4. An option which should be considered is for the NT government to take over all off-premise sales of alcohol. Outside of Australia, there is a long history, stretching back to the mid-19th century, of governments monopolising the sale of alcohol because of public health and order concerns 5. Canada has had provincial monopolies of off-premise sales since the early 1920s, and Norway’s monopoly dates from the same era. The current monopolies in 18 states of the USA mostly date from the repeal of alcohol prohibition in the USA in 1933. Sweden has had alcohol monopolies at the community level since 1850; they were consolidated into a national monopoly over 50 years ago. Australia also has had a history of public alcohol monopolies, but only at the community or municipal level. In a forthcoming book, Brady 6 covers not only the history of community-operated clubs in Indigenous communities (also discussed in 7), but also the history of municipal hotels in towns along the Murray River in South Australia. A few of the South Australian community hotels still exist, though often they have lost their local monopoly on sales; and there are still some communally owned clubs in remote Indigenous communities. With respect to effects on public health and order, as discussed below, the Australian history is mixed—there are lessons to be learned from it. Government operation of alcohol sales can make a substantial contribution to reducing levels of heavy drinking and alcohol-related problems. In 2012, the US Centers for Disease Control published a systematic review of studies of the effects of replacing a monopoly with a licensing system 8, finding ‘strong evidence that privatization of retail alcohol sales leads to increases in excessive alcohol consumption’. There is evidence also from modern changes in the opposite direction—of decreases in consumption and alcohol-related health and social problems from monopolisation (e.g. 9). On the basis of such evidence, modelling studies of the effects of privatising a monopoly system show substantial increases in alcohol consumption and rates of alcohol-related problems (e.g. 10, 11). There are lessons from experience overseas (and also from the Australian experience with community-level monopolies) concerning how to organise an alcohol monopoly system in the interests of public health and order. The best experience has been to organise it as a freestanding government corporation, with a clear mandate that, while it should provide good service to customers, its priority is to be on maximising the interests of public health and public order. In terms of cabinet responsibility, the corporation should report to a ministry concerned with public health or order—a ministry responsible for health or justice or family welfare. It would be a mistake to place it under the treasury or a ministry of finance, which inevitably brings a priority on revenue. The Australian experience with community monopoly stores has shown that if the store is run with the primary goal of raising revenue, it has adverse effects on health and public order 6, 7. Another critical question is whether off-sales of all alcoholic beverages are monopolised, or only some. None of the US state monopolies include beer (it was falsely argued when they were set up that beer was not intoxicating). The Swedish monopoly includes all alcoholic beverages other than beer below 3.5% in strength, which is sold in grocery stores. The basic public health position now is that for most adverse consequences what matters is the amount of pure alcohol consumed, no matter in what form it comes, so any exclusions should be carefully considered. The patterns of drinking and harm in the NT suggest that all alcoholic beverages should be included. There is substantial historical experience, particularly from the Canadian and Nordic monopolies, with individualised controls on purchasing to draw on which is relevant to the NT’s Banned Drinker Register. Until 1955, for instance, the Swedish system assigned a monthly ration as the maximum that could be purchased by a family, and denied any ration at all to about 10% of the families which applied, on the basis of previous misuse. This required individual-level decisions about and surveillance of particular customers. That the system was effective in holding down consumption by heavy drinkers is shown by the fact that cirrhosis mortality rose by one-third the year after restrictions on heavy drinkers were removed by the abolition of the rationing system 16. In the longer run, one way in which a government monopoly serves the interests of public health and order is that it occupies a market position otherwise occupied by private interests which have a permanent interest in ‘growing the market’ by lobbying to reduce controls 5. This editorial is written by a non-Indigenous person not resident in the NT. I recognise that there is a long history of ‘solutions’ imposed from the outside on Indigenous communities in the NT, often with deleterious effects 14, and that justice as well as historical experience calls for wide consultation with Indigenous communities about such a proposal. A government alcohol monopoly with public health and interest as primary aims can be more responsive than private interests to community sentiment, for instance on whether there is a sales outlet in the community. It should also be noted that NT alcohol policy is not just about Indigenous drinkers; there are high rates of alcohol consumption and of alcohol-related problems also in the non-Indigenous NT population. With its levels and patterns of alcohol consumption resulting in high rates of health and social harm, the NT needs to think outside the normal Australian range of policy options. A territorial government retail monopoly on off-sales of alcohol has the potential to substantially reduce the rates of harm.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.023 | 0.024 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.013 | 0.027 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.014 | 0.022 |
| Open science | 0.006 | 0.010 |
| Research integrity | 0.043 | 0.041 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.011 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".