An Adaptive Markov Model for the Timing Analysis of Probabilistic Caches
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Accurate timing prediction for real-time embedded software execution is becoming a problem due to the increasing complexity of computer architecture, and the presence of mixed-criticality workloads. Probabilistic caches were proposed to set bounds to Worst Case Execution Time (WCET) estimates and help designers improve real-time embedded system resource use. Static Probabilistic Timing Analysis (SPTA) for probabilistic caches is nevertheless difficult to perform, because cache accesses depend on execution history, and the computational complexity of SPTA makes it intractable for calculation as the number of accesses increases. In this paper, we explore and improve SPTA for caches with evict-on-miss random replacement policy using a state space modeling technique. A nonhomogeneous Markov model is employed for single-path programs in discrete-time finite state space representation. To make this Markov model tractable, we limit the number of states and use an adaptive method for state modification. Experiments show that compared to the state-of-the-art methodology, the proposed adaptive Markov chain approach provides better results at the occurrence probability of 10 −15 : in terms of accuracy, the state-of-the-art SPTA results are more conservative, by 11% more on average. In terms of computation time, our approach is not significantly different from the state-of-the-art SPTA.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it