MuClone: Somatic mutation detection and classification through probabilistic integration of clonal population structure
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Accurate detection and classification of somatic single nucleotide variants (SNVs) is important in defining the clonal composition of human cancers. Existing tools are prone to miss low prevalence mutations and methods for classification of mutations into clonal groups across the whole genome are underdeveloped. Increasing interest in deciphering clonal population dynamics over multiple samples in time or anatomic space from the same patient is resulting in whole genome sequence (WGS) data from phylogenetically related samples. With the access to this data, we posited that injecting clonal structure information into the inference of mutations from multiple samples would improve mutation detection. We developed MuClone: a novel statistical framework for simultaneous detection and classification of mutations across multiple tumour samples of a patient from whole genome or exome sequencing data. The key advance lies in incorporating prior knowledge about the cellular prevalences of clones to improve the performance of detecting mutations, particularly low prevalence mutations. We evaluated MuClone through synthetic and real data from spatially sampled ovarian cancers. Results support the hypothesis that clonal information improves sensitivity in detecting somatic mutations without compromising specificity. In addition, MuClone classifies mutations across whole genomes of multiple samples into biologically meaningful groups, providing additional phylogenetic insights and enhancing the study of WGS-derived clonal dynamics.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".