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Record W2766225997 · doi:10.1080/00031305.2017.1377111

Bayesian Analysis on a Noncentral Fisher–Student’s Hypersphere

2017· article· en· W2766225997 on OpenAlexaff
Richard Le Blanc

Bibliographic record

VenueThe American Statistician · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Sherbrooke
Fundersnot available
KeywordsHypersphereMathematicsFalse discovery rateStatistical hypothesis testingBayes factorNull distributionNull hypothesisBayesian probabilityp-valueBayes' theoremMultiple comparisons problemWeibull distributionStatisticsApplied mathematicsTest statisticGeometry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Fisher succeeded early on in redefining Student’s t-distribution in geometrical terms on a central hypersphere. Intriguingly, a noncentral analytical extension for this fundamental Fisher–Student’s central hypersphere h-distribution does not exist. We therefore set to derive the noncentral h-distribution and use it to graphically illustrate the limitations of the Neyman–Pearson null hypothesis significance testing framework and the strengths of the Bayesian statistical hypothesis analysis framework on the hypersphere polar axis, a compact nontrivial one-dimensional parameter space. Using a geometrically meaningful maximal entropy prior, we requalify the apparent failure of an important psychological science reproducibility project. We proceed to show that the Bayes factor appropriately models the two-sample t-test p-value density of a gene expression profile produced by the high-throughput genomic-scale microarray technology, and provides a simple expression for a local false discovery rate addressing the multiple hypothesis testing problem brought about by such a technology.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.017
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.046
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.017
Threshold uncertainty score0.090

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0170.046
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.005
Scholarly communication0.0020.004
Open science0.0020.003
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.352
GPT teacher head0.572
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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