Innovating from Changes in the Natural Environment: Towards a Mitigation and Adaptation Framework
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Technological, regulatory and socio-demographic changes have long stood as the main sources of opportunities for innovation and entrepreneurship. There is growing evidence, however, that changes in the natural environment are occurring more rapidly, and that these changes may also serve as a fourth source of entrepreneurial opportunities. This paper extends work on sustainable innovation by proposing that changes in the natural environment are an objective source of entrepreneurial opportunity that can take a number of forms. Using a qualitative inductive design we draw from the Inc. 5000 list of America’s Fastest Growing Companies to identify themes surrounding opportunity identification and the natural environment. Our results lead to proposing a mitigation-adaptation framework for classifying these opportunities. Implications for sustainable development innovation and entrepreneurship more generally are discussed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.033 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.009 | 0.010 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".